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Red99
22333.8
20342.2
31654.6
Blue134
902731.4
19333.5
140354.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371135010015020099134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
54.62.1
54.552.4
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
blue by 0.2
1403
#11
54.81.0
49.150.1
Auto10.4
Teleop32.9
End10.0
Second
203
#27
42.22.1
35.933.8
Auto12.2
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 8.7
193
#40
33.51.0
32.133.1
Auto12.8
Teleop15.0
End5.9
Third
223
#53
33.82.1
35.033.0
Auto10.2
Teleop17.5
End6.4
red by 2.4
9027
#29
31.41.0
27.728.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsMissed30%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned