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Red104
902731.4
108935.4
31654.6
Blue101
457332.6
30320.3
180753.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123115050100150200250300104101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
54.61.0
52.451.4
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
red by 0.7
1807
#16
53.90.5
57.757.2
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
1089
#43
35.41.0
33.432.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End8.3
red by 2.7
4573
#45
32.60.5
28.427.8
Auto8.9
Teleop18.3
End5.7
Third
9027
#29
31.41.0
28.727.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End8.2
red by 11.1
303
#57
20.30.5
22.822.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned