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Red136
32142.5
22333.8
36540.6
Blue138
20342.2
436139.1
689737.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211176080100140160180136138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
#37
42.51.5
42.243.8
Auto13.4
Teleop22.1
End6.5
red by 0.3
203
#27
42.21.2
33.835.0
Auto12.2
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Second
365
#55
40.61.5
37.639.2
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
red by 1.5
4361
#39
39.11.2
38.739.9
Auto13.3
Teleop18.6
End7.2
Third
223
#53
33.81.5
33.034.5
Auto10.2
Teleop17.5
End6.4
blue by 3.9
6897
#35
37.81.2
37.538.7
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
51%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned