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Red100
694521.2
540126.3
55535.2
Blue112
314241.5
257734.0
5625.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710250150100112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
555
#32
35.21.6
28.029.7
Auto10.2
Teleop16.6
End8.5
blue by 6.2
3142
#22
41.51.3
38.239.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
Second
5401
#59
26.31.6
28.630.2
Auto8.2
Teleop12.4
End6.0
blue by 7.7
2577
#26
34.01.3
28.830.1
Auto7.6
Teleop19.5
End6.9
Third
6945
#60
21.21.6
19.120.7
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.9
blue by 4.5
56
#51
25.71.3
25.426.7
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned