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Red136
272040.1
36540.6
34162.4
Blue89
48448.2
901419.0
164043.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501045020013689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
62.40.1
58.158.2
Auto13.7
Teleop36.8
End10.4
red by 14.2
484
#24
48.20.9
39.938.9
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Second
365
#55
40.60.1
39.239.2
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
blue by 2.9
1640
#41
43.50.9
44.143.1
Auto13.6
Teleop23.3
End6.2
Third
2720
#30
40.10.1
38.738.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End7.4
red by 21.1
9014
#58
19.00.9
19.118.1
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed