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Red115
902731.4
48628.4
22241.9
Blue137
437353.0
909433.6
43327.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108104708090100120130140115137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#15
41.91.0
41.943.0
Auto8.1
Teleop27.3
End6.0
blue by 11.1
4373
#23
53.02.5
48.050.5
Auto17.4
Teleop27.4
End7.6
Second
9027
#29
31.41.0
27.728.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End8.2
blue by 2.2
9094
#31
33.62.5
29.331.8
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Third
486
#52
28.41.0
29.830.9
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
red by 0.8
433
#49
27.72.5
22.324.8
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned