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Red147
434249.5
22333.8
139161.2
Blue138
218029.2
331460.5
10239.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311450100200147138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.20.4
54.755.2
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End11.1
red by 0.7
60.51.8
55.757.6
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
Second
49.50.4
41.241.7
Auto12.2
Teleop30.1
End6.7
red by 10.5
102
#38
39.01.8
31.132.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.6
End6.9
Third
223
#53
33.80.4
34.534.9
Auto10.2
Teleop17.5
End6.4
red by 4.6
2180
#44
29.21.8
23.725.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned