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Red167
1153.1
428530.0
31654.6
Blue135
167650.9
192360.1
434249.5
51%Model gave it49%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151150130140160170180167135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#12
54.60.4
53.252.8
Auto11.2
Teleop32.8
End10.0
blue by 5.5
1923
#19
60.10.5
52.752.2
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
Second
11
#14
53.10.4
51.250.7
Auto16.4
Teleop27.9
End8.0
red by 2.2
1676
#25
50.90.5
50.650.1
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
Third
4285
#47
30.00.4
35.334.9
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End4.9
blue by 19.4
49.50.5
39.238.7
Auto12.2
Teleop30.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
42%Sustainability oddsEarned71%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsMissed