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Red115
331460.5
5625.7
20342.2
Blue118
43327.7
181238.3
34162.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11712850100150200115118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.3
53.653.9
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
blue by 1.9
341
#4
62.41.1
58.757.7
Auto13.7
Teleop36.8
End10.4
Second
203
#27
42.20.3
35.335.5
Auto12.2
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 4.0
1812
#17
38.31.1
36.935.9
Auto13.9
Teleop17.2
End7.4
Third
56
#51
25.70.3
22.122.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
blue by 2.0
433
#49
27.71.1
23.322.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.1
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned