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Red145
259048.0
34162.4
689737.8
Blue109
249547.4
457332.6
272040.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011750100200145109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#4
62.40.5
59.159.7
Auto13.7
Teleop36.8
End10.4
red by 15.0
2495
#42
47.40.6
47.046.4
Auto11.1
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Second
48.00.5
44.344.9
Auto12.8
Teleop28.7
End5.4
red by 8.0
2720
#30
40.10.6
36.435.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End7.4
Third
6897
#35
37.80.5
37.738.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.3
End4.9
red by 5.1
4573
#45
32.60.6
30.229.5
Auto8.9
Teleop18.3
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned