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Red150
331460.5
314241.5
180753.9
Blue111
10353.8
566624.1
363733.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17210650150200250150111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.5
59.058.5
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 6.7
103
#1
53.80.1
49.048.9
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End7.1
Second
1807
#16
53.90.5
52.852.3
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
red by 20.7
3637
#48
33.20.1
32.932.8
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End3.4
Third
3142
#22
41.50.5
40.339.8
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
red by 17.3
5666
#56
24.10.1
25.725.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed