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Red138
121851.5
167650.9
902731.4
Blue134
108935.4
48448.2
1153.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212450100200138134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#13
51.50.2
53.753.4
Auto15.1
Teleop27.9
End7.6
blue by 1.6
11
#14
53.11.0
48.749.7
Auto16.4
Teleop27.9
End8.0
Second
1676
#25
50.90.2
49.849.6
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
red by 2.6
484
#24
48.21.0
38.939.9
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
Third
9027
#29
31.40.2
29.229.0
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End8.2
blue by 3.9
1089
#43
35.41.0
31.232.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned