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Red136
2553.6
589562.1
272229.9
Blue129
5625.7
218029.2
436139.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1608750100200136129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#10
62.10.3
57.457.1
Auto15.3
Teleop38.7
End7.4
red by 23.0
4361
#39
39.12.5
40.342.8
Auto13.3
Teleop18.6
End7.2
Second
25
#8
53.60.3
52.952.6
Auto11.4
Teleop33.1
End8.3
red by 24.4
2180
#44
29.22.5
25.928.4
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Third
2722
#46
29.90.3
30.330.0
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
red by 4.2
56
#51
25.72.5
24.927.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed73%Activation oddsEarned