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Red109
19333.5
257734.0
29336.7
Blue158
22241.9
83452.6
139161.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9316250150200109158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
293
#20
36.70.9
35.936.8
Auto9.7
Teleop22.0
End4.7
blue by 24.5
61.21.0
55.656.6
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End11.1
Second
2577
#26
34.00.9
28.929.8
Auto7.6
Teleop19.5
End6.9
blue by 18.7
834
#5
52.61.0
51.452.4
Auto13.3
Teleop30.3
End7.7
Third
193
#40
33.50.9
31.132.0
Auto12.8
Teleop15.0
End5.9
blue by 8.4
222
#15
41.91.0
42.943.9
Auto8.1
Teleop27.3
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned