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Red74
704542.6
902731.4
911627.4
Blue125
171240.7
2553.6
10353.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891485010020074125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7045
#18
42.61.2
42.040.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
blue by 11.2
103
#1
53.80.4
47.947.5
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End7.1
Second
9027
#29
31.41.2
28.927.7
Auto10.0
Teleop13.3
End8.2
blue by 22.2
25
#8
53.60.4
51.951.5
Auto11.4
Teleop33.1
End8.3
Third
9116
#54
27.41.2
20.419.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.5
End6.4
blue by 13.3
1712
#21
40.70.4
31.931.5
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed66%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned