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Red125
272040.1
30320.3
83452.6
Blue86
566624.1
139161.2
694521.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910005015020025030012586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#5
52.60.7
50.751.4
Auto13.3
Teleop30.3
End7.7
blue by 8.6
61.20.7
53.652.9
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End11.1
Second
2720
#30
40.10.7
36.937.6
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End7.4
red by 16.0
5666
#56
24.10.7
23.222.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End5.1
Third
303
#57
20.30.7
21.922.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.7
End5.5
blue by 0.8
6945
#60
21.20.7
19.719.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsMissed