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Red172
48448.2
437353.0
331460.5
Blue147
257734.0
253965.1
249547.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160145100200250172147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.51.3
58.860.1
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
blue by 4.6
65.10.3
63.764.0
Auto15.5
Teleop39.2
End9.7
Second
4373
#23
53.01.3
49.650.9
Auto17.4
Teleop27.4
End7.6
red by 5.6
2495
#42
47.40.3
46.246.5
Auto11.1
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Third
484
#24
48.21.3
41.342.5
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
red by 14.3
2577
#26
34.00.3
31.131.4
Auto7.6
Teleop19.5
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned87%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned