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Red142
19333.5
457332.6
589562.1
Blue106
272229.9
272040.1
909433.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13399050150200142106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#10
62.11.4
57.759.1
Auto15.3
Teleop38.7
End7.4
red by 22.0
2720
#30
40.10.6
36.537.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End7.4
Second
193
#40
33.51.4
32.333.7
Auto12.8
Teleop15.0
End5.9
blue by 0.1
9094
#31
33.60.6
30.531.1
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Third
4573
#45
32.61.4
30.732.1
Auto8.9
Teleop18.3
End5.7
red by 2.8
2722
#46
29.90.6
29.830.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned