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Red99
10239.0
901419.0
167650.9
Blue111
314241.5
83452.6
218029.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071325015020099111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#25
50.90.6
49.348.7
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
blue by 1.8
834
#5
52.61.0
53.552.5
Auto13.3
Teleop30.3
End7.7
Second
102
#38
39.00.6
34.533.8
Auto11.5
Teleop20.6
End6.9
blue by 2.5
3142
#22
41.51.0
39.338.3
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
Third
9014
#58
19.00.6
19.719.0
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End6.3
blue by 10.2
2180
#44
29.21.0
28.227.2
Auto9.3
Teleop11.7
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned