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Red128
171240.7
180753.9
22333.8
Blue123
192360.1
5625.7
911627.4
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711150100150200250128123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#16
53.90.2
52.152.3
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
blue by 6.2
1923
#19
60.10.5
55.454.9
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
Second
1712
#21
40.70.2
36.937.1
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End9.3
red by 13.3
9116
#54
27.40.5
24.724.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.5
End6.4
Third
223
#53DQ
33.80.2
36.036.2
Auto10.2
Teleop17.5
End6.4
red by 8.2
56
#51
25.70.5
26.926.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned59%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned