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Red120
36540.6
55535.2
428530.0
Blue112
704542.6
108935.4
48628.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105120050150200120112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#55
40.61.3
41.342.6
Auto12.1
Teleop23.9
End4.7
blue by 2.0
7045
#18
42.60.1
44.844.9
Auto11.4
Teleop23.6
End7.1
Second
555
#32
35.21.3
30.832.1
Auto10.2
Teleop16.6
End8.5
blue by 0.1
1089
#43
35.40.1
33.433.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.1
End8.3
Third
4285
#47
30.01.3
28.229.5
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End4.9
red by 1.6
486
#52
28.40.1
32.132.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsEarned