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Red149
20342.2
10239.0
70842.2
Blue123
171240.7
911627.4
909433.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1229550150200149123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#27
42.22.5
38.941.4
Auto12.2
Teleop23.4
End6.8
red by 1.5
1712
#21
40.71.7
37.138.8
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End9.3
Second
708
#33
42.22.5
38.140.7
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End8.6
red by 8.6
9094
#31
33.61.7
31.132.8
Auto10.2
Teleop17.6
End5.7
Third
102
#38
39.02.5
33.836.4
Auto11.5
Teleop20.6
End6.9
red by 11.6
9116
#54
27.41.7
24.225.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned