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Red151
139161.2
692130.1
55535.2
Blue150
428530.0
34162.4
180753.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11915750100200250151150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.21.6
58.259.8
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End11.1
blue by 1.2
341
#4
62.40.2
61.761.9
Auto13.7
Teleop36.8
End10.4
Second
555
#32
35.21.6
32.133.7
Auto10.2
Teleop16.6
End8.5
blue by 18.7
1807
#16
53.90.2
52.352.5
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Third
6921
#50
30.11.6
26.328.0
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End6.3
red by 0.1
4285
#47
30.00.2
29.529.7
Auto8.0
Teleop17.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned84%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned