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Red184
48448.2
192360.1
253965.1
Blue169
34162.4
181238.3
10353.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183161120140200220240260184169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.3
63.864.2
Auto15.5
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 2.7
341
#4
62.40.1
62.362.4
Auto13.7
Teleop36.8
End10.4
Second
1923
#19
60.10.3
58.859.1
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
red by 6.3
103
#1
53.80.1
53.753.8
Auto11.1
Teleop35.1
End7.1
Third
484
#24
48.20.3
47.047.3
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
red by 10.0
1812
#17
38.30.1
38.138.3
Auto13.9
Teleop17.2
End7.4