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Red149
167650.9
1153.1
140354.8
Blue153
314241.5
589562.1
331460.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160175100150200250149153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#11
54.80.1
54.554.4
Auto10.4
Teleop32.9
End10.0
blue by 7.3
5895
#10
62.10.2
61.261.0
Auto15.3
Teleop38.7
End7.4
Second
11
#14
53.10.1
52.852.7
Auto16.4
Teleop27.9
End8.0
blue by 7.5
60.50.2
59.759.5
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
Third
1676
#25
50.90.1
50.550.5
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
red by 9.4
3142
#22
41.50.2
40.640.4
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0