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Red178
48448.2
192360.1
253965.1
Blue155
2553.6
139161.2
437353.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183171120140160200220240178155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.10.2
64.264.3
Auto15.5
Teleop39.2
End9.7
red by 3.9
61.20.3
61.561.2
Auto16.3
Teleop32.8
End11.1
Second
1923
#19
60.10.2
59.159.3
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
red by 6.4
25
#8
53.60.3
53.953.6
Auto11.4
Teleop33.1
End8.3
Third
484
#24
48.20.2
47.347.5
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8
blue by 4.7
4373
#23
53.00.3
53.353.0
Auto17.4
Teleop27.4
End7.6