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Red177
167650.9
1153.1
140354.8
Blue146
83452.6
180753.9
70842.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162150100120140180200220177146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#11
54.80.5
54.054.5
Auto10.4
Teleop32.9
End10.0
red by 0.9
1807
#16
53.90.1
53.953.9
Auto11.2
Teleop34.5
End6.9
Second
11
#14
53.10.5
52.352.8
Auto16.4
Teleop27.9
End8.0
red by 0.5
834
#5
52.60.1
52.652.6
Auto13.3
Teleop30.3
End7.7
Third
1676
#25
50.90.5
50.150.5
Auto13.5
Teleop29.5
End7.0
red by 8.7
708
#33
42.20.1
42.142.2
Auto10.8
Teleop22.4
End8.6