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Red167
331460.5
589562.1
314241.5
Blue166
253965.1
192360.1
48448.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171183150200250167166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#10
62.10.1
61.161.2
Auto15.3
Teleop38.7
End7.4
blue by 3.0
65.10.3
64.163.8
Auto15.5
Teleop39.2
End9.7
Second
60.50.1
59.659.7
Auto13.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 0.5
1923
#19
60.10.3
59.158.8
Auto12.6
Teleop37.7
End9.8
Third
3142
#22
41.50.1
40.540.6
Auto10.3
Teleop22.4
End9.0
blue by 6.8
484
#24
48.20.3
47.347.0
Auto12.3
Teleop27.8
End7.8