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Red58
222112.6
747410.4
395927.4
Blue74
880830.3
709419.2
346822.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657520401001205874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#13
27.40.4
26.826.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.0
End7.6
blue by 2.9
30.31.1
26.525.4
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End9.4
Second
2221
#18
12.60.4
17.316.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End4.4
blue by 9.5
3468
#10
22.11.0
19.318.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.3
End8.8
Third
7474
#25
10.40.4
17.917.5
Auto2.3
Teleop2.6
End5.5
blue by 8.9
7094
#20
19.21.1
23.422.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsMissed