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Red85
11851.1
804414.9
191225.0
Blue105
218329.7
303947.2
361626.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939570809010011012085105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
51.10.2
49.949.7
Auto17.4
Teleop25.6
End8.0
red by 3.9
47.21.2
41.342.5
Auto14.5
Teleop26.1
End6.6
Second
1912
#14
25.00.3
19.819.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.1
End8.3
blue by 4.7
29.71.8
23.325.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.8
End7.4
Third
8044
#26
14.90.3
18.618.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End5.6
blue by 11.5
3616
#12
26.41.7
23.124.8
Auto7.2
Teleop12.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed55%Activation oddsMissed