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Qual 102023 Madtown Throwdown
Red164
581C42.8
1678B45.1
132383.8
Blue178
135147.8
167164.1
425557.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133135100110120140150160170164178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
#2
83.80.5
82.7→82.2
Auto18.0
Teleop60.3
End4.0
red by 19.6
1671
#7
64.11.4
58.8→60.1
Auto10.5
Teleop53.7
End-0.6
Second
1678B
#21
45.10.8
39.8→39.0
Auto6.4
Teleop39.1
End-0.8
blue by 12.7
4255
#12
57.81.4
62.2→63.6
Auto12.1
Teleop44.3
End-0.4
Third
581C
#15
42.80.8
32.1→31.2
Auto4.4
Teleop40.2
End-1.5
blue by 4.9
1351
#24
47.81.4
44.6→45.9
Auto6.2
Teleop40.6
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned