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Qual 112023 Madtown Throwdown
Red120
97365.5
5104B20.7
541947.3
Blue47
510427.9
281322.6
973B27.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047320406012014016012047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#6
65.50.3
69.8→70.1
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
red by 37.6
5104
#46
27.92.7
31.8→29.1
Auto6.2
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Second
5419
#4
47.30.3
32.9→33.1
Auto6.2
Teleop43.5
End-1.4
red by 20.1
973B
#16
27.14.5
32.9→28.4
Auto4.6
Teleop23.2
End-0.4
Third
5104B
#34
20.70.4
13.4→13.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.5
End0.4
blue by 1.9
2813
#30
22.62.7
22.9→20.2
Auto2.9
Teleop19.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
63%Sustainability oddsMissed36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned