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Qual 212023 Madtown Throwdown
Red85
385930.2
5419B14.5
97168.8
Blue149
665730.4
581B32.3
594073.2
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8011105015020025085149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#10
68.81.3
60.5→59.2
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
blue by 4.5
5940
#5
73.21.4
70.2→71.5
Auto14.1
Teleop57.9
End-0.9
Second
3859
#42
30.21.3
30.4→29.1
Auto6.4
Teleop23.0
End0.8
blue by 2.2
581B
#20
32.32.3
29.0→31.3
Auto5.1
Teleop29.0
End-1.1
Third
5419B
#40
14.52.2
13.7→11.6
Auto2.6
Teleop13.2
End-0.8
blue by 15.8
6657
#29
30.41.3
29.6→30.9
Auto6.3
Teleop21.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsMissed77%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned