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Qual 222023 Madtown Throwdown
Red154
581C42.8
502636.9
25483.7
Blue137
167884.0
2813B17.5
5940B40.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12490050150200250154137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
83.70.3
82.6→82.8
Auto14.6
Teleop66.2
End0.3
blue by 0.3
1678
#3
84.00.8
80.8→81.6
Auto14.0
Teleop67.0
End-0.7
Second
581C
#15
42.80.4
31.2→31.7
Auto4.4
Teleop40.2
End-1.5
red by 1.9
5940B
#23
40.91.0
37.5→38.5
Auto7.3
Teleop33.9
End-0.3
Third
5026
#31
36.90.3
36.1→36.4
Auto7.5
Teleop29.4
End0.3
red by 19.5
2813B
#38
17.51.4
6.0→7.5
Auto0.8
Teleop18.2
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed