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Red137
132383.8
841B10.5
6305B13.4
Blue112
502636.9
1678C40.2
1678B45.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9085406080100120137112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.82.4
82.885.2
Auto18.0
Teleop60.3
End4.0
red by 38.7
45.10.3
41.941.7
Auto6.4
Teleop39.1
End-0.8
Second
13.44.0
9.813.7
Auto1.6
Teleop11.9
End-0.0
blue by 26.7
40.20.3
36.636.3
Auto6.6
Teleop33.2
End-0.6
Third
841B
#22
10.54.0
3.77.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop13.5
End-1.4
blue by 26.4
5026
#31
36.90.2
35.835.7
Auto7.5
Teleop29.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
47%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned