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Red128
11455.7
630520.7
541947.3
Blue127
661926.6
97168.8
5026B11.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10175050150128127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#28
55.70.6
58.859.4
Auto9.0
Teleop46.0
End-1.0
blue by 13.1
971
#10
68.82.0
61.763.7
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
Second
47.30.6
38.238.8
Auto6.2
Teleop43.5
End-1.4
red by 20.7
6619
#48
26.62.0
22.224.2
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End1.8
Third
6305
#47
20.70.6
21.522.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.0
End2.9
red by 9.6
11.13.4
7.911.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.5
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsEarned26%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned