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Qual 382023 Madtown Throwdown
Red174
25483.7
971C32.8
97365.5
Blue144
581738.4
425557.8
254B38.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161103050150200174144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
83.70.4
84.1→83.7
Auto14.6
Teleop66.2
End0.3
red by 25.9
4255
#12
57.80.7
56.0→56.6
Auto12.1
Teleop44.3
End-0.4
Second
973
#6
65.50.4
67.7→67.3
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
red by 26.6
254B
#32
38.91.1
42.8→43.9
Auto6.6
Teleop32.9
End-0.8
Third
971C
#11
32.80.7
29.1→28.3
Auto5.2
Teleop28.8
End-0.6
blue by 5.6
5817
#45
38.40.7
36.8→37.4
Auto6.8
Teleop31.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned53%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsEarned