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Red100
213534.7
876833.2
281322.6
Blue111
469836.9
581B32.3
2813B17.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69697075808595110100111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2135
#19
34.70.3
38.238.5
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.3
blue by 2.2
4698
#25
36.91.7
35.837.5
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End1.0
Second
8768
#39
33.20.3
31.832.1
Auto4.1
Teleop28.1
End1.0
red by 0.8
581B
#20
32.32.8
33.436.2
Auto5.1
Teleop29.0
End-1.1
Third
2813
#30
22.60.3
20.520.8
Auto2.9
Teleop19.6
End0.5
red by 5.2
17.52.8
11.614.4
Auto0.8
Teleop18.2
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsEarned