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Red162
25483.7
397044.3
132383.8
Blue211
84132.9
167884.0
594073.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18613550100150200250162211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.81.0
84.683.6
Auto18.0
Teleop60.3
End4.0
blue by 0.3
84.00.8
82.283.0
Auto14.0
Teleop67.0
End-0.7
Second
254
#1
83.71.0
84.783.7
Auto14.6
Teleop66.2
End0.3
red by 10.5
73.20.8
71.472.1
Auto14.1
Teleop57.9
End-0.9
Third
3970
#44
44.31.0
45.144.1
Auto8.5
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 11.4
841
#17
32.90.8
31.031.8
Auto3.8
Teleop30.3
End-1.0