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Red166
114B49.9
135147.8
58158.5
Blue194
97168.8
97365.5
971B43.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12415050100200250166194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#37
58.50.2
58.358.5
Auto9.0
Teleop51.4
End-1.8
blue by 10.2
971
#10
68.80.5
67.167.6
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
Second
49.90.3
49.649.9
Auto9.7
Teleop40.4
End0.0
blue by 15.6
973
#6
65.50.5
63.864.3
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
Third
1351
#24
47.80.2
47.547.8
Auto6.2
Teleop40.6
End-0.0
red by 4.5
971B
#18
43.30.7
41.041.7
Auto7.7
Teleop35.6
End-0.1