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Red179
1678B45.1
397044.3
132383.8
Blue202
97168.8
97365.5
971B43.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501470100200300400500600179202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.80.2
83.683.8
Auto18.0
Teleop60.3
End4.0
red by 15.0
971
#10
68.80.6
67.668.2
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
Second
45.10.2
44.945.1
Auto6.4
Teleop39.1
End-0.8
blue by 20.4
973
#6
65.50.6
64.365.0
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
Third
3970
#44
44.30.2
44.144.3
Auto8.5
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 1.0
971B
#18
43.30.9
41.742.6
Auto7.7
Teleop35.6
End-0.1