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Red144
1323B57.3
3970B29.3
541947.3
Blue182
58158.5
135147.8
114B49.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113126050100150200250144182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.30.4
55.656.0
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End0.8
blue by 1.3
581
#37
58.50.4
57.658.0
Auto9.0
Teleop51.4
End-1.8
Second
47.30.3
46.046.3
Auto6.2
Teleop43.5
End-1.4
blue by 2.6
49.90.6
48.649.2
Auto9.7
Teleop40.4
End0.0
Third
29.30.4
28.929.3
Auto6.5
Teleop21.9
End0.7
blue by 18.5
1351
#24
47.80.4
46.847.2
Auto6.2
Teleop40.6
End-0.0