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Red168
1678C40.2
5940B40.9
581738.4
Blue196
581C42.8
167164.1
425557.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84131050100150200168196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.2
39.740.9
Auto7.3
Teleop33.9
End-0.3
blue by 23.2
64.10.8
63.564.3
Auto10.5
Teleop53.7
End-0.6
Second
40.21.6
38.640.2
Auto6.6
Teleop33.2
End-0.6
blue by 17.7
4255
#12
57.80.8
57.258.0
Auto12.1
Teleop44.3
End-0.4
Third
5817
#45
38.41.2
37.238.4
Auto6.8
Teleop31.0
End0.7
blue by 4.5
581C
#15
42.81.0
42.043.1
Auto4.4
Teleop40.2
End-1.5