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Red147
11455.7
971C32.8
581B32.3
Blue172
541947.3
1323B57.3
741928.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9111350100150200147172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#28
55.70.6
55.055.7
Auto9.0
Teleop46.0
End-1.0
blue by 1.6
57.31.2
56.057.3
Auto11.9
Teleop44.1
End0.8
Second
971C
#11
32.80.8
31.932.8
Auto5.2
Teleop28.8
End-0.6
blue by 14.5
47.30.9
46.347.3
Auto6.2
Teleop43.5
End-1.4
Third
581B
#20
32.30.8
31.532.3
Auto5.1
Teleop29.0
End-1.1
red by 3.9
7419
#41
28.40.9
27.528.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.6
End-0.1