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Red221
25483.7
397044.3
132383.8
Blue181
97168.8
97365.5
469836.9
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18813550100150200250221181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.80.2
84.484.6
Auto18.0
Teleop60.3
End4.0
red by 15.0
971
#10
68.80.3
66.366.6
Auto12.6
Teleop56.6
End-0.8
Second
254
#1
83.70.2
84.584.7
Auto14.6
Teleop66.2
End0.3
red by 18.2
973
#6
65.50.3
63.163.4
Auto12.4
Teleop51.0
End1.8
Third
3970
#44
44.30.2
44.945.1
Auto8.5
Teleop33.6
End2.1
red by 7.4
4698
#25
36.90.3
36.636.9
Auto5.9
Teleop30.1
End1.0