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Red95
588717.5
610610.6
595922.6
Blue61
634824.0
928221.1
34728.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51572040809561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#17
22.60.8
22.022.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.8
End7.2
blue by 1.4
6348
#16
24.00.2
23.824.0
Auto8.4
Teleop9.9
End5.8
Second
17.50.8
16.917.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.7
End4.8
blue by 3.6
21.10.2
20.921.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End6.5
Third
6106
#26
10.60.9
10.010.9
Auto6.5
Teleop3.6
End0.6
red by 2.2
3472
#35
8.40.2
8.28.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End4.3