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Red147
670219.5
347835.3
463543.2
Blue96
315819.1
440329.3
664730.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036840608012014014796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.6
41.341.8
Auto14.4
Teleop20.8
End8.0
red by 13.1
6647
#13
30.20.6
26.827.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.9
End8.4
Second
35.30.6
33.434.0
Auto9.1
Teleop16.4
End9.9
red by 6.1
29.30.6
26.026.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Third
6702
#29
19.50.6
17.618.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 0.4
3158
#23
19.10.6
15.816.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End4.1