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Red54
228323.5
315822.6
571618.3
Blue80
437116.4
569615.2
617021.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71530204060801001201405480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.2
23.623.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End6.6
red by 1.6
6170
#15
21.90.5
21.321.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.2
Second
22.60.2
22.622.4
Auto5.1
Teleop11.8
End5.7
red by 6.1
4371
#23
16.40.5
15.816.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.6
End5.5
Third
5716
#31
18.30.3
18.418.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End3.7
red by 3.0
15.20.5
14.615.1
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End4.4