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Red65
379417.8
928220.5
393325.4
Blue25
477522.0
588720.0
829117.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71650501001502002506525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#16
25.40.1
26.126.0
Auto10.2
Teleop9.2
End6.0
red by 3.4
4775
#17
22.00.9
22.922.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End6.1
Second
9282
#12
20.50.1
21.221.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End6.2
red by 0.5
20.00.9
20.920.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End4.1
Third
3794
#18
17.80.1
18.518.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End8.5
red by 0.8
8291
#14
17.01.0
18.017.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End5.6