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Red123
352613.3
463553.1
440043.4
Blue87
440331.9
552629.5
620019.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12183406010014016018012387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.2
52.853.0
Auto15.1
Teleop30.8
End7.2
red by 21.2
4403
#20
31.90.1
32.532.3
Auto5.4
Teleop21.2
End5.3
Second
43.40.2
43.143.3
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End8.9
red by 13.9
29.50.1
30.029.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.9
End9.0
Third
3526
#32
13.30.2
13.113.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
blue by 6.1
6200
#40
19.40.1
20.019.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.4
End7.1